Swarm AI took a new approach to its annual Oscar forecast, incorporating multiple swarms over a number of weeks to produce an AI-optimized set of predictions. Dr. Rosenberg, CEO of Unanimous AI, described this approach as a “‘Swarm of Swarms’ that functions as a super-intelligent hive mind” in order to produce its most accurate forecast yet.
Of course, that’s a high bar to clear, as previous Oscar predictions via Swarm AI have been remarkably successful, including a 94% accuracy rate that beat all experts on record. Below is a complete breakdown of all of the major awards and the predictions.
With so many Oscar-worthy films that came out in 2020, these predictions only made 2 mistakes – in the Best Director and Best Picture category.
Here is a look at how the Swarm AI system analyzes the information it gathers during our Oscar forecasting sessions. This Support Density map registers the relative sentiment into the most and least likely candidates for the Best Director Oscar in one of the discrete responses that comprise the “Swarm of Swarms.” As you can see, support for Sam Mendes and 1917 is clearly dominant in this instance, although both Todd Philips (JOKER) and Quentin Tarantino (ONCE UPON A TIME…IN HOLLYWOOD) received a modicum of early support.
For each of the four major categories. This “spider chart” shows that 1917 is given a 46% chance of winning Best Picture (with Parasite as runner-up with 26.36%), a noteworthy percentage in a field of nine contenders. Similarly, that both Renee Zellweger and Joaquin Phoenix are hovering around 61% to win Best Actress and Best Actor establishes them as heavy, heavy favorites.
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